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Red305
451254.8
2928101.3
491184.7
Blue235
36082.2
529564.0
468269.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234226100150200250300350305235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.31.9
94.796.6
Auto13.3
Teleop41.0
End46.9
red by 19.1
360
#20
82.20.4
82.282.6
Auto10.9
Teleop35.9
End35.4
Second
84.71.9
78.180.0
Auto9.0
Teleop38.3
End37.4
red by 15.6
4682
#21
69.10.4
69.269.6
Auto5.7
Teleop25.1
End38.3
Third
4512
#26
54.81.9
48.350.1
Auto7.6
Teleop25.9
End21.3
blue by 9.2
64.00.4
64.164.5
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End24.7