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Red311
48852.2
2907101.3
366396.7
Blue255
407772.7
260573.6
594167.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672130100300400500600311255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.31.4
100.0101.4
Auto16.4
Teleop36.3
End48.7
red by 27.8
73.61.0
72.173.1
Auto8.4
Teleop39.8
End25.4
Second
3663
#10
96.71.4
95.396.8
Auto11.4
Teleop44.6
End40.7
red by 24.0
4077
#14
72.71.0
71.272.3
Auto7.8
Teleop31.7
End33.3
Third
488
#25
52.21.4
50.852.3
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End15.6
blue by 15.7
5941
#16
67.91.0
66.467.4
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End40.9