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Red255
468327.4
491184.7
177893.5
Blue115
417347.9
326835.4
491868.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191050300400255115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.56.9
95.0101.9
Auto13.3
Teleop40.9
End39.3
red by 25.2
4918
#15
68.30.1
58.058.0
Auto4.6
Teleop36.6
End27.1
Second
84.74.1
69.773.9
Auto9.0
Teleop38.3
End37.4
red by 36.8
4173
#17
47.90.1
34.534.5
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End14.9
Third
4683
#27
27.46.9
28.235.1
Auto2.3
Teleop26.7
End-1.5
blue by 7.9
3268
#28
35.40.1
22.922.9
Auto6.6
Teleop27.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed