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Red250
36082.2
420554.6
451254.8
Blue266
407772.7
491868.3
594167.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167198050100150250300350250266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#20
82.25.8
72.678.4
Auto10.9
Teleop35.9
End35.4
red by 9.4
4077
#14
72.77.9
62.370.2
Auto7.8
Teleop31.7
End33.3
Second
4512
#26
54.88.4
49.457.8
Auto7.6
Teleop25.9
End21.3
blue by 13.5
4918
#15
68.37.9
60.067.9
Auto4.6
Teleop36.6
End27.1
Third
4205
#22
54.68.4
40.849.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.4
End25.6
blue by 13.3
5941
#16
67.97.9
61.769.6
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End40.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed