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Red255
298076.6
417347.9
2907101.3
Blue117
291083.0
252271.8
529564.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215261100300400500255117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.32.9
97.0100.0
Auto16.4
Teleop36.3
End48.7
red by 18.3
2910
#13
83.09.2
87.678.3
Auto11.8
Teleop42.9
End28.3
Second
2980
#18
76.63.3
70.974.2
Auto5.9
Teleop43.8
End26.9
red by 4.8
2522
#24
71.89.2
80.871.6
Auto6.0
Teleop28.4
End37.4
Third
4173
#17
47.93.3
43.046.3
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End14.9
blue by 16.1
64.09.2
73.364.1
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End24.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed