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Red322
293087.8
2046102.7
2910111.2
Blue252
580391.6
131897.5
407776.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682860100200400500600322252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#14
111.20.2
110.9111.1
Auto14.7
Teleop50.9
End45.5
red by 13.6
97.50.4
98.598.1
Auto10.9
Teleop43.5
End43.2
Second
2046
#11
102.70.2
102.4102.7
Auto10.4
Teleop42.5
End49.8
red by 11.1
91.60.4
92.592.2
Auto9.4
Teleop41.6
End40.6
Third
2930
#13
87.80.2
87.587.7
Auto11.6
Teleop40.0
End36.2
red by 11.3
4077
#23
76.50.4
77.477.1
Auto6.5
Teleop30.5
End39.4