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Red255
299085.4
281173.6
290784.1
Blue292
131897.5
445090.5
446991.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563030100200400500255292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#15
85.40.4
86.586.9
Auto11.4
Teleop47.8
End26.2
blue by 12.1
97.50.3
98.498.7
Auto10.9
Teleop43.5
End43.2
Second
2907
#25
84.10.4
82.482.7
Auto9.4
Teleop39.0
End35.6
blue by 7.1
4469
#12
91.20.3
103.7104.0
Auto8.4
Teleop42.8
End40.0
Third
2811
#20
73.60.4
80.681.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.6
End32.5
blue by 16.9
90.50.3
79.880.2
Auto10.9
Teleop35.0
End44.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
32%Rotor oddsMissed20%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed