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Red185
299085.4
634361.5
635057.6
Blue245
252256.4
582787.2
469256.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2352230100200300400185245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#15
85.42.8
86.984.1
Auto11.4
Teleop47.8
End26.2
blue by 1.8
87.22.1
88.390.4
Auto4.9
Teleop34.1
End48.2
Second
6343
#27
61.52.8
70.267.4
Auto3.8
Teleop37.9
End19.8
red by 5.1
2522
#22
56.42.1
64.366.4
Auto6.0
Teleop21.2
End29.2
Third
6350
#28
57.62.8
64.761.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.0
End25.0
red by 1.3
4692
#24
56.32.1
60.662.7
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End27.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed