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Red286
293087.8
2046102.7
2910111.2
Blue230
1778105.1
445090.5
129481.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672960100200500600700286230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#14
111.20.4
111.2110.9
Auto14.7
Teleop50.9
End45.5
red by 6.0
105.11.1
106.3105.1
Auto7.4
Teleop40.9
End56.8
Second
2046
#11
102.70.4
102.8102.4
Auto10.4
Teleop42.5
End49.8
red by 12.2
90.51.1
91.790.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.0
End44.7
Third
2930
#13
87.80.4
87.887.5
Auto11.6
Teleop40.0
End36.2
red by 5.9
1294
#19
81.81.1
83.081.8
Auto10.7
Teleop45.4
End25.7