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Red316
407776.5
131897.5
580391.6
Blue171
247194.7
582787.2
252256.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022520100200400500600700316171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.50.5
97.998.5
Auto10.9
Teleop43.5
End43.2
red by 2.8
2471
#17
94.71.6
96.394.7
Auto11.2
Teleop51.9
End31.6
Second
91.60.5
92.092.5
Auto9.4
Teleop41.6
End40.6
red by 4.4
87.21.6
88.887.2
Auto4.9
Teleop34.1
End48.2
Third
4077
#23
76.50.5
76.977.4
Auto6.5
Teleop30.5
End39.4
red by 20.1
2522
#22
56.41.6
58.056.4
Auto6.0
Teleop21.2
End29.2