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Red425
292897.1
492100.6
293084.7
Blue230
1294102.3
1778109.1
307089.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893300200400600800425230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#6
100.61.0
99.6100.6
Auto10.4
Teleop45.5
End44.7
blue by 8.5
109.12.3
111.4109.1
Auto14.4
Teleop44.1
End50.7
Second
2928
#21
97.11.0
96.197.1
Auto10.7
Teleop48.4
End38.1
blue by 5.2
102.32.3
104.6102.3
Auto11.7
Teleop46.8
End43.8
Third
2930
#17
84.71.0
83.784.7
Auto9.1
Teleop49.7
End26.0
blue by 4.2
3070
#14
89.02.3
91.289.0
Auto14.1
Teleop46.5
End28.4