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Red262
291099.0
5803122.2
321881.3
Blue235
468279.9
3663114.2
4915108.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282269200250300350400262235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.20.3
121.6121.3
Auto15.0
Teleop55.3
End51.9
red by 8.0
114.21.8
98.696.8
Auto12.8
Teleop48.0
End53.5
Second
2910
#15
99.00.3
83.082.7
Auto11.0
Teleop49.8
End38.3
blue by 9.5
108.51.8
91.089.2
Auto11.8
Teleop45.2
End51.4
Third
3218
#11
81.30.3
61.461.1
Auto7.2
Teleop29.1
End45.0
red by 1.4
4682
#22
79.91.8
67.665.7
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End46.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed