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Red155
549575.7
307089.0
255778.9
Blue255
326862.7
198393.5
492100.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442010100300400155255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#14
89.04.7
76.171.4
Auto14.1
Teleop46.5
End28.4
blue by 11.7
492
#6
100.66.5
60.867.2
Auto10.4
Teleop45.5
End44.7
Second
2557
#24
78.94.7
75.871.1
Auto7.5
Teleop37.2
End34.2
blue by 14.5
1983
#23
93.53.9
85.989.8
Auto8.5
Teleop43.3
End41.7
Third
5495
#29
75.74.7
73.969.2
Auto11.9
Teleop32.4
End31.4
red by 13.0
3268
#30
62.73.9
50.053.9
Auto8.6
Teleop21.1
End32.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed