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Red241
252275.1
321881.3
290372.0
Blue235
189988.6
568343.4
407797.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217231100150200250300350241235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#11
81.32.2
61.363.5
Auto7.2
Teleop29.1
End45.0
blue by 16.1
97.40.5
88.788.2
Auto11.0
Teleop38.5
End47.9
Second
2522
#16
75.12.2
74.877.0
Auto7.6
Teleop28.1
End39.4
blue by 13.5
1899
#19
88.60.5
80.179.6
Auto8.1
Teleop38.4
End42.1
Third
2903
#28
72.02.2
72.074.2
Auto1.6
Teleop36.5
End34.0
red by 28.6
5683
#35
43.40.5
48.948.3
Auto7.5
Teleop23.3
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed