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Red256
255565.9
650340.8
291099.0
Blue235
290372.0
451263.3
582783.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1962360100300400500256235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#15
99.04.3
94.098.3
Auto11.0
Teleop49.8
End38.3
red by 15.2
5827
#10
83.81.1
84.185.2
Auto6.1
Teleop35.0
End42.7
Second
2555
#33
65.94.8
61.265.9
Auto7.0
Teleop24.4
End34.6
blue by 6.1
2903
#28
72.01.1
72.373.4
Auto1.6
Teleop36.5
End34.0
Third
6503
#37
40.84.3
36.540.8
Auto7.4
Teleop24.7
End8.7
blue by 22.5
4512
#32
63.31.1
62.263.3
Auto7.4
Teleop31.3
End24.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed