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Red195
410435.8
451368.9
323891.2
Blue135
460826.2
357531.4
491145.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21988050150200250300350400195135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.20.1
88.988.8
Auto13.6
Teleop47.0
End30.6
red by 46.0
4911
#22
45.20.7
44.845.5
Auto5.0
Teleop29.5
End10.7
Second
68.90.1
66.666.5
Auto9.4
Teleop38.0
End21.5
red by 37.5
3575
#15
31.40.7
31.031.7
Auto5.1
Teleop21.3
End5.0
Third
4104
#18
35.80.1
33.533.5
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
red by 9.6
4608
#16
26.20.7
25.826.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.2
End9.6