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Red0
214941.9
412557.3
371239.4
Blue8
357531.4
546855.2
612927.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164135010020030040050060008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#14
57.316.9
55.738.8
Auto5.4
Teleop29.8
End22.1
red by 2.1
55.213.8
54.640.8
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End17.7
Second
2149
#19
41.916.9
52.335.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.9
End12.6
red by 10.5
3575
#15
31.413.8
39.125.3
Auto5.1
Teleop21.3
End5.0
Third
3712
#30
39.416.9
44.027.1
Auto2.3
Teleop17.6
End19.5
red by 12.1
27.213.8
38.424.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed