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Red190
406180.9
511135.8
449560.5
Blue108
378941.0
292347.0
546855.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142137050100200250300190108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.96.2
60.366.5
Auto8.9
Teleop30.2
End41.8
red by 25.7
55.22.5
40.838.3
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End17.7
Second
60.56.2
33.539.7
Auto6.4
Teleop31.5
End22.6
red by 13.5
2923
#17
47.02.5
51.048.5
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End13.0
Third
5111
#26
35.86.2
40.546.7
Auto1.3
Teleop30.8
End3.7
blue by 5.2
3789
#24
41.02.5
38.736.2
Auto4.3
Teleop25.6
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed