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Red200
323891.2
322034.3
511135.8
Blue210
214941.9
214777.0
612927.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16091050200250300350200210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.26.4
72.478.8
Auto13.6
Teleop47.0
End30.6
red by 14.1
2147
#10
77.012.7
39.952.6
Auto8.9
Teleop34.0
End34.1
Second
5111
#26
35.86.4
46.953.3
Auto1.3
Teleop30.8
End3.7
blue by 6.0
2149
#19
41.912.7
24.537.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.9
End12.6
Third
3220
#20
34.36.4
23.229.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End10.6
red by 7.0
27.212.7
31.744.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed