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Red150
406180.9
378941.0
410435.8
Blue165
491145.2
357531.4
412557.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163109050200250300150165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.90.2
71.671.4
Auto8.9
Teleop30.2
End41.8
red by 23.6
4125
#14
57.36.0
33.339.3
Auto5.4
Teleop29.8
End22.1
Second
3789
#24
41.00.2
36.836.5
Auto4.3
Teleop25.6
End11.2
blue by 4.2
4911
#22
45.26.0
58.564.5
Auto5.0
Teleop29.5
End10.7
Third
4104
#18
35.80.2
38.738.4
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
red by 4.4
3575
#15
31.46.0
19.525.5
Auto5.1
Teleop21.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed