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Red120
491145.2
412031.1
612927.2
Blue195
449560.5
214777.0
357531.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97137050150200250300120195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#22
45.25.1
49.244.2
Auto5.0
Teleop29.5
End10.7
blue by 31.8
2147
#10
77.06.8
54.461.2
Auto8.9
Teleop34.0
End34.1
Second
4120
#28
31.15.1
19.014.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.4
End10.9
blue by 29.4
60.56.8
47.754.5
Auto6.4
Teleop31.5
End22.6
Third
27.25.1
29.424.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End9.5
blue by 4.2
3575
#15
31.46.8
22.429.2
Auto5.1
Teleop21.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed