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Red158
292347.0
371239.4
159581.7
Blue195
214941.9
322034.3
607647.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14688050200250300158195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.72.5
54.557.0
Auto10.6
Teleop36.8
End34.3
red by 34.6
6076
#23
47.14.7
28.132.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End11.2
Second
2923
#17
47.02.5
35.938.4
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End13.0
red by 5.1
2149
#19
41.94.7
39.143.8
Auto6.3
Teleop22.9
End12.6
Third
3712
#30
39.42.5
39.942.4
Auto2.3
Teleop17.6
End19.5
red by 5.1
3220
#20
34.34.7
24.829.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed