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Red230
592083.9
214860.0
412031.1
Blue155
322034.3
449560.5
412557.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147130050100200250300230155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.97.5
65.773.2
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End40.1
red by 23.3
60.51.6
53.254.8
Auto6.4
Teleop31.5
End22.6
Second
2148
#11
60.07.5
51.859.3
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End21.9
red by 2.7
4125
#14
57.31.6
43.044.6
Auto5.4
Teleop29.8
End22.1
Third
4120
#28
31.17.5
20.227.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.4
End10.9
blue by 3.2
3220
#20
34.31.6
29.531.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed