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Red359
162597.6
2830109.7
2451100.8
Blue165
96789.7
207785.8
26997.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335290100200400500600359165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.70.5
110.3110.8
Auto15.5
Teleop48.8
End45.4
red by 12.5
269
#32
97.12.6
99.797.1
Auto16.5
Teleop43.1
End37.5
Second
2451
#11
100.80.5
101.4101.9
Auto23.6
Teleop47.6
End29.6
red by 11.1
967
#17
89.72.6
92.389.7
Auto12.7
Teleop41.8
End35.3
Third
1625
#20
97.60.5
98.298.7
Auto13.6
Teleop43.5
End40.5
red by 11.8
2077
#10
85.82.6
88.485.8
Auto12.7
Teleop38.5
End34.6