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Red396
282680.2
4655103.3
48100.3
Blue450
3418115.4
338195.1
369589.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297320100200400500600396450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.30.3
103.3103.6
Auto10.0
Teleop50.1
End43.3
blue by 12.1
3418
#23
115.41.0
115.5116.5
Auto13.7
Teleop49.2
End52.5
Second
48
#26
100.30.3
100.2100.5
Auto14.9
Teleop53.9
End31.4
red by 5.2
95.11.0
95.196.1
Auto13.3
Teleop47.5
End34.3
Third
2826
#14
80.20.3
80.280.5
Auto9.9
Teleop40.4
End30.0
blue by 8.8
3695
#15
89.11.0
89.190.1
Auto6.6
Teleop41.9
End40.6