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Red135
250661.8
544284.6
2451100.8
Blue316
173979.2
16792.0
26997.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240241150200300135316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#11
100.86.5
98.592.0
Auto23.6
Teleop47.6
End29.6
red by 3.7
269
#32
97.16.1
91.297.3
Auto16.5
Teleop43.1
End37.5
Second
5442
#19
84.67.9
79.071.1
Auto12.1
Teleop39.3
End33.2
blue by 7.4
167
#18
92.06.7
76.783.5
Auto6.8
Teleop42.9
End42.2
Third
2506
#29
61.87.2
54.647.4
Auto8.4
Teleop34.7
End18.7
blue by 17.4
1739
#27
79.26.7
57.263.9
Auto6.6
Teleop38.2
End34.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed