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Red115
250661.8
657454.2
26997.1
Blue165
514876.6
509867.5
297789.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1862660100300400500600115165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#32
97.14.8
97.392.5
Auto16.5
Teleop43.1
End37.5
red by 7.8
2977
#35
89.36.7
78.371.6
Auto10.3
Teleop31.0
End48.0
Second
2506
#29
61.84.8
47.442.6
Auto8.4
Teleop34.7
End18.7
blue by 14.9
5148
#34
76.65.5
81.676.1
Auto9.2
Teleop38.0
End29.5
Third
6574
#43
54.28.0
42.534.5
Auto7.4
Teleop26.8
End20.0
blue by 13.2
5098
#22
67.55.5
82.376.8
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End32.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed