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Red310
369589.1
3418115.4
173979.2
Blue293
453190.6
130685.9
4655103.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413110100200400500600700310293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3418
#23
115.43.1
101.3104.4
Auto13.7
Teleop49.2
End52.5
red by 12.1
103.30.4
113.8114.2
Auto10.0
Teleop50.1
End43.3
Second
3695
#15
89.13.5
72.676.1
Auto6.6
Teleop41.9
End40.6
blue by 1.6
4531
#16
90.60.4
88.589.0
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End45.6
Third
1739
#27
79.23.1
63.967.1
Auto6.6
Teleop38.2
End34.4
blue by 6.7
1306
#12
85.90.4
84.084.4
Auto9.7
Teleop44.4
End31.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed