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Red284
369589.1
2194117.4
641966.7
Blue400
1986162.4
2062115.3
657454.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763250100200400500600700800284400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.40.7
119.0118.4
Auto15.4
Teleop45.6
End56.3
blue by 45.1
162.44.9
147.4152.3
Auto44.5
Teleop59.1
End58.8
Second
3695
#15
89.10.7
84.483.7
Auto6.6
Teleop41.9
End40.6
blue by 26.2
115.34.9
111.2116.0
Auto13.3
Teleop56.8
End45.2
Third
6419
#48
66.70.7
65.564.9
Auto7.8
Teleop33.0
End25.8
red by 12.4
6574
#43
54.28.1
43.551.6
Auto7.4
Teleop26.8
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed51%Pressure oddsEarned