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Red260
558668.7
369589.1
253092.5
Blue265
16792.0
338195.1
500367.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268264200250300350260265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#41
92.51.3
93.892.5
Auto9.7
Teleop38.8
End44.1
blue by 2.6
95.10.9
94.495.3
Auto13.3
Teleop47.5
End34.3
Second
3695
#15
89.11.3
90.589.2
Auto6.6
Teleop41.9
End40.6
blue by 3.0
167
#18
92.00.9
91.192.0
Auto6.8
Teleop42.9
End42.2
Third
5586
#42
68.71.3
70.068.7
Auto5.2
Teleop36.6
End26.8
red by 1.4
5003
#21
67.31.2
66.167.3
Auto13.4
Teleop28.5
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed