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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Wisconsin Regional
Red222
220293.7
93107.6
4539104.1
Blue276
93085.3
5976104.3
53781.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346260100200300400500600222276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#2
107.62.2
110.9108.7
Auto9.7
Teleop43.4
End54.4
red by 3.3
104.30.4
99.7100.1
Auto12.2
Teleop49.4
End42.7
Second
4539
#10
104.12.2
107.4105.2
Auto7.5
Teleop51.1
End45.5
red by 18.8
930
#31
85.30.4
80.781.0
Auto10.8
Teleop36.8
End37.7
Third
2202
#35
93.72.2
97.194.9
Auto12.8
Teleop36.6
End44.3
red by 12.3
537
#20
81.40.3
77.677.9
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End48.2