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Red198
178177.9
585579.8
558658.4
Blue195
171651.0
424758.2
509689.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230191100300400198195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5855
#24
79.81.6
73.071.5
Auto10.9
Teleop42.3
End26.6
blue by 9.8
5096
#51
89.60.8
83.083.8
Auto9.3
Teleop28.4
End51.8
Second
1781
#33
77.91.6
86.384.7
Auto6.3
Teleop32.7
End38.9
red by 19.7
4247
#42
58.20.8
60.361.1
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End34.2
Third
5586
#48
58.41.6
53.952.3
Auto4.0
Teleop30.6
End23.8
red by 7.5
1716
#50
51.00.8
43.644.5
Auto6.8
Teleop35.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed