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Red185
429683.3
369262.4
247260.8
Blue235
167577.1
310287.4
319772.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162163100150200250185235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4296
#36
83.32.3
68.570.8
Auto10.4
Teleop38.6
End34.3
blue by 4.1
3102
#27
87.48.2
63.871.9
Auto7.2
Teleop41.6
End38.6
Second
3692
#47
62.42.3
42.144.4
Auto9.2
Teleop28.8
End24.3
blue by 14.8
1675
#11
77.17.5
38.445.9
Auto13.5
Teleop41.7
End21.9
Third
2472
#43
60.82.9
48.751.6
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End30.4
blue by 11.5
3197
#21
72.39.4
48.157.5
Auto11.9
Teleop33.6
End26.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed