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Red195
667051.0
453172.9
198580.2
Blue215
369262.4
207765.0
359665.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191910100300400195215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#38
80.20.6
86.485.8
Auto9.2
Teleop37.2
End33.8
red by 14.3
3596
#32
65.92.8
64.467.2
Auto7.6
Teleop25.0
End33.3
Second
4531
#49
72.90.9
70.069.1
Auto4.7
Teleop33.8
End34.4
red by 7.9
2077
#41
65.02.8
61.364.1
Auto11.1
Teleop29.5
End24.4
Third
6670
#53
51.00.9
47.846.9
Auto5.6
Teleop27.3
End18.2
blue by 11.3
3692
#47
62.42.0
59.961.9
Auto9.2
Teleop28.8
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed