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Red329
642181.6
167577.1
93085.3
Blue143
250660.6
478676.0
178177.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242540100300400500329143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#31
85.310.0
70.780.7
Auto10.8
Teleop36.8
End37.7
red by 7.3
1781
#33
77.98.4
86.377.9
Auto6.3
Teleop32.7
End38.9
Second
6421
#19
81.610.0
71.681.6
Auto4.9
Teleop31.1
End45.5
red by 5.6
4786
#12
76.06.3
82.275.9
Auto9.4
Teleop39.6
End27.0
Third
1675
#11
77.17.5
74.581.9
Auto13.5
Teleop41.7
End21.9
red by 16.6
2506
#46
60.68.4
69.060.6
Auto5.3
Teleop36.5
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed