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Red310
109195.1
2062112.7
3130112.0
Blue262
167577.1
1732114.1
2194114.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341339280300320360380310262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.70.3
113.3113.0
Auto11.6
Teleop48.9
End52.2
blue by 2.3
2194
#15
114.91.6
120.3118.7
Auto15.0
Teleop43.0
End56.8
Second
112.00.3
112.5112.3
Auto15.3
Teleop57.8
End38.9
blue by 2.1
114.11.3
118.4117.2
Auto15.4
Teleop56.1
End42.6
Third
1091
#25
95.10.3
95.895.4
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End46.2
red by 18.0
1675
#11
77.11.3
81.580.2
Auto13.5
Teleop41.7
End21.9