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Red316
53781.4
5976104.3
93085.3
Blue257
419876.7
171480.7
429683.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283247100200400500316257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.31.4
101.6103.0
Auto12.2
Teleop49.4
End42.7
red by 21.0
4296
#36
83.30.4
82.883.2
Auto10.4
Teleop38.6
End34.3
Second
930
#31
85.31.4
82.684.0
Auto10.8
Teleop36.8
End37.7
red by 4.5
80.70.4
80.380.7
Auto11.9
Teleop41.6
End27.2
Third
537
#20
81.41.2
79.280.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End48.2
red by 4.7
4198
#28
76.70.5
76.176.6
Auto6.5
Teleop34.2
End36.0