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Red243
53781.4
5976104.3
93085.3
Blue250
419876.7
171480.7
429683.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288248100200400500243250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.30.7
103.0102.4
Auto12.2
Teleop49.4
End42.7
red by 21.0
4296
#36
83.30.2
83.283.4
Auto10.4
Teleop38.6
End34.3
Second
930
#31
85.30.7
84.083.3
Auto10.8
Teleop36.8
End37.7
red by 4.5
80.70.2
80.780.9
Auto11.9
Teleop41.6
End27.2
Third
537
#20
81.40.5
80.479.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End48.2
red by 4.7
4198
#28
76.70.3
76.676.9
Auto6.5
Teleop34.2
End36.0