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Red195
17394.2
22891.7
352536.9
Blue245
195150.4
2067103.7
346189.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21138506008001,000195245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#17
94.20.0
94.294.2
Auto7.5
Teleop40.0
End46.6
blue by 56.2
195
#1
150.40.0
150.4150.4
Auto36.6
Teleop68.2
End45.5
Second
228
#9
91.70.0
91.791.7
Auto12.9
Teleop41.6
End37.1
blue by 12.0
103.70.0
103.7103.7
Auto14.3
Teleop44.3
End45.1
Third
3525
#20
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End7.0
blue by 52.6
89.40.0
89.489.4
Auto9.7
Teleop39.6
End40.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds90%Pressure odds