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Red165
558105.4
405589.4
542159.0
Blue310
206468.1
18195.0
17892.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267269150200250300350400165310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#16
105.40.0
105.4105.4
Auto12.9
Teleop60.4
End32.1
red by 10.4
181
#6
95.00.0
95.095.0
Auto9.4
Teleop42.9
End42.7
Second
4055
#11
89.40.0
89.489.4
Auto6.1
Teleop41.6
End41.7
blue by 3.0
178
#4
92.40.0
92.492.4
Auto8.0
Teleop37.3
End47.1
Third
5421
#24
59.00.0
59.059.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.9
End25.1
blue by 9.1
2064
#14
68.10.0
68.168.1
Auto9.3
Teleop39.6
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds