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Red215
71682.3
314686.6
17892.4
Blue100
109968.5
206468.1
346189.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28223104006008001,0001,200215100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#4
92.40.0
92.492.4
Auto8.0
Teleop37.3
End47.1
red by 3.0
89.40.0
89.489.4
Auto9.7
Teleop39.6
End40.1
Second
3146
#10
86.60.0
86.686.6
Auto7.1
Teleop38.8
End40.6
red by 18.1
1099
#19
68.50.0
68.568.5
Auto9.1
Teleop31.8
End27.6
Third
716
#15
82.30.0
82.382.3
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End32.5
red by 14.2
2064
#14
68.10.0
68.168.1
Auto9.3
Teleop39.6
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds