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Red123
109968.5
112483.8
2067103.7
Blue145
3654106.7
15564.1
405589.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268275100200300400500123145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.70.0
103.7103.7
Auto14.3
Teleop44.3
End45.1
blue by 3.0
106.70.0
106.7106.7
Auto7.6
Teleop49.4
End49.7
Second
1124
#18
83.80.0
83.883.8
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End32.0
blue by 5.7
4055
#11
89.40.0
89.489.4
Auto6.1
Teleop41.6
End41.7
Third
1099
#19
68.50.0
68.568.5
Auto9.1
Teleop31.8
End27.6
red by 4.3
155
#13
64.10.0
64.164.1
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds