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Red305
205498.3
2771101.4
323481.4
Blue335
606583.7
85892.4
3357110.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301299240260280320340360380305335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.40.0
101.4101.4
Auto15.5
Teleop45.8
End40.1
blue by 8.8
3357
#26
110.20.0
110.2110.2
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
Second
2054
#14
98.30.0
98.398.3
Auto13.9
Teleop43.4
End40.9
red by 5.8
858
#5
92.40.0
92.492.4
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End45.1
Third
3234
#10
81.40.0
81.481.4
Auto10.8
Teleop42.8
End27.8
blue by 2.4
83.70.0
83.783.7
Auto9.5
Teleop37.8
End36.4