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Red218
118880.6
531683.5
240567.2
Blue282
598095.1
3452120.1
3357110.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253600100300400500600700218282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5316
#28
83.50.0
83.583.5
Auto9.4
Teleop38.2
End35.9
blue by 36.6
120.10.0
120.1120.1
Auto14.6
Teleop50.4
End55.1
Second
1188
#29
80.60.0
80.680.6
Auto12.1
Teleop35.8
End32.7
blue by 29.6
3357
#26
110.20.0
110.2110.2
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
Third
2405
#22
67.20.0
67.267.2
Auto9.9
Teleop39.1
End18.2
blue by 27.9
95.10.0
95.195.1
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End48.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds31%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds