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Red190
525695.0
107118.9
550289.8
Blue225
85892.4
515276.4
531683.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292560100200400500600700190225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#17
118.90.0
118.9118.9
Auto17.6
Teleop49.9
End51.4
red by 26.4
858
#5
92.40.0
92.492.4
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End45.1
Second
5256
#16
95.00.0
95.095.0
Auto10.2
Teleop49.1
End35.7
red by 11.5
5316
#28
83.50.0
83.583.5
Auto9.4
Teleop38.2
End35.9
Third
5502
#20
89.80.0
89.889.8
Auto9.0
Teleop42.5
End38.3
red by 13.3
5152
#30
76.40.0
76.476.4
Auto6.3
Teleop32.9
End37.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
13%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds