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Red368
400485.1
2767122.0
85106.2
Blue296
606583.7
85892.4
3357110.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902890100200500600700368296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.00.0
122.0122.0
Auto25.3
Teleop66.5
End30.2
red by 11.9
3357
#26
110.20.0
110.2110.2
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
Second
85
#6
106.20.0
106.2106.2
Auto12.4
Teleop54.4
End39.4
red by 13.8
858
#5
92.40.0
92.492.4
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End45.1
Third
4004
#31
85.10.0
85.185.1
Auto9.6
Teleop39.7
End35.8
red by 1.3
83.70.0
83.783.7
Auto9.5
Teleop37.8
End36.4