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Red379
359201.8
2122218.6
4733103.5
Blue271
2130178.5
3250186.7
5630108.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions431323100200400500600379271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.60.5
217.6218.1
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
red by 31.8
186.70.7
185.5186.2
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
Second
359
#4
201.80.2
201.4201.7
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
red by 23.3
178.50.8
177.1177.9
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
Third
4733
#32
103.50.0
103.6103.5
Auto15.1
Teleop77.8
End10.3
blue by 4.8
5630
#33
108.30.0
108.4108.4
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4