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Red130
3216124.5
724699.9
460499.3
Blue316
6679140.7
3250186.7
3011119.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258311100200400500130316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#10
124.511.0
87.999.0
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6
blue by 62.2
186.72.3
147.7150.0
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
Second
7246
#34
99.912.5
77.790.3
Auto16.7
Teleop73.9
End7.9
blue by 40.8
140.75.4
105.5111.0
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
Third
4604
#25
99.38.0
89.397.3
Auto12.7
Teleop83.2
End7.2
blue by 20.2
119.51.9
116.5114.7
Auto20.4
Teleop93.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed