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Red244
5118110.7
3216124.5
5725116.4
Blue192
6364126.8
6178102.3
1482116.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256253150200300350400244192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#10
124.54.8
99.0103.7
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6
blue by 2.2
6364
#26
126.80.6
124.9124.4
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
Second
5725
#16
116.412.7
90.5103.2
Auto16.6
Teleop86.5
End14.6
Level
1482
#19
116.40.7
110.6109.9
Auto13.8
Teleop90.4
End16.1
Third
5118
#13
110.70.1
93.693.5
Auto15.3
Teleop82.3
End15.8
red by 8.4
6178
#27
102.39.3
76.786.0
Auto17.3
Teleop74.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed