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Red347
5118110.7
4775156.9
460499.3
Blue251
724699.9
4334177.4
6435107.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245319100200400500600347251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.92.3
146.6148.9
Auto18.3
Teleop116.9
End21.1
blue by 20.5
4334
#15
177.41.6
170.2171.8
Auto21.5
Teleop138.0
End18.3
Second
5118
#13
110.70.1
93.793.8
Auto15.3
Teleop82.3
End15.8
red by 3.5
6435
#23
107.34.4
75.079.5
Auto17.5
Teleop84.2
End7.9
Third
4604
#25
99.30.9
100.1101.1
Auto12.7
Teleop83.2
End7.2
blue by 0.6
7246
#34
99.96.0
96.1102.1
Auto16.7
Teleop73.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed